What
does our world really look like? RAINER
MAUTZ
An
attempt is being made by volunteers all over the
world to visit the confl uence points and document
the scenery with pictures and narratives
Usually, us human beings tend to
cumulate in urban centres, and if we go places, then
to those which we consider as worthwhile a visit,
such as the Tower of Pisa or Old Faithful Geyser in
Yellowstone National Park. Due to our unbalanced focus
on certain areas, we have a distorted image of our
world – much more jam-packed of houses, roads
and people than it actually is.
An
approach to sample the world
If we want to
have an unbiased view of our earth surface, we need
to sample it that independently of any existing human
infrastructure, topography and accessibility. One clever
idea that realizes true independency is simply to identify
an evenly distributed set of sample points by coordinates.
A straightforward approach is to sample all the exact
spots where an integer degree of latitude and an integer
degree of longitude meet, such as 20°00’00”N
106°00’00”E. Those 64,442 points are
referred here as confl uence points. Using the WGS84
datum the locations of those points are exactly defi
ned. If we only knew what these sites – at least
those 21,541 being on land – look like, the title
question could be answered. Considering that pure satellite
pictures do not give the true impression of the spot
compared to the scene when actually standing on it,
taking pictures of all confl uences means to go to the
confl uence points. This is quite an effort, since they
form a grid with a cell size of roughly 100 km. by 100
km
The
Confluence project
Fortunately,
for the past decade an attempt is being made by volunteers
all over the world to visit the confluence points and
document the scenery with pictures and narratives. All
reports of visits are submitted to the website www.confl
uence.org where they are published. Now, exactly 10
years into the project with several thousand people
actively participating, one might guess that all points
must have been visited. De
facto, only 26.9% of the project goal is fulfilled at
the time of writing.
Why is the progress so slow? The answer can be found
when recalling that these points ignore our built infrastructure:
they let ‘confluence hunters’ drive into
deserts, wade through swamps, argue with land owners
and run for miles after their vehicle has got stuck
in the sand, thereby always counting down numbers at
the displays of their GPS receivers. The time to reach
confl uence points ranges from 10 visits in 1 day (as
I managed to do in Germany, a country with dense infrastructure)
up to 1 visit in 10 days for reaching the world’s
highest confl uence at 5835m in Xizang (Tibet).
The disparity of infrastructure, population density,
and awareness of the project hampers the fulfilment
of the project goal. Currently, there is a huge gap
in completeness of the project between different regions
in the world. Figure 1 shows the current achievement
in all countries. On the top of the list of best documented
countries is Luxembourg with its only confluence point
(50°N 6°E) being visited 13 times. Even in a
larger country such as Germany, its 48 confluence points
have been documented more than 5 times on average. On
the other end, in areas where the people’s basic
needs such as water, food and health are far from being
satisfied, the search for confl uence points is not
ranked high on the to-do-lists. The Democratic Republic
of Congo (Zaire) is leading the list of incompleteness:
not a single of the 189 confluence points in Congo has
been visited nor even attempted. Clearly, most of the
Congolese are not aware of the project and not equipped
with the required instruments to survey their nearby
confluence points. On the top of everything the access
to the sample points is challenged by tropical rain
forests and intestine wars. The density of visited confl
uences for a country however is hardly correlated to
the population density (correlation coeffi cient +0.15),
but clearly correlated in the GDP
(correlation +0.6) and the number of internet users
per 1000 inhabitants
(correlation +0.6). Figure 2 shows the locations of
visited confluence points – within large countries
like China or Russia the density of visits varies significantly.
Russia’s easy accessible areas in the west and
along the industrial belt are almost completed while
the most of Siberia which is mostly covered by swamps,
uninhabited taiga and tundra is still untouched by confluence
hunters.
Challenges
in finding confluences
Navigating
to confluences can be challenging – physically
where a coarse road network demands long hikes or climbs,
such as the Tibetan confl uence 30°N 90°E where
the visitors suffered a physical toll (one of them was
rushed to the hospital after the trip) because the confluence
hunt involved a 6-day, 75 km pack-horse trip at altitudes
continuously above 5000 m without any villages or human
infrastructure. Sometimes negotiation skills are required
when points are located in restricted areas, such as
the last remaining virgin confl uence on the contiguous
USA (37°N 116°W) that resisted all attempts
for visits due to its location in the Nevada nuclear
test site, which is very restricted U.S. government
property. However, nothing is impossible if there is
a strong will – so finally this last land confluence
was documented.
I can clearly say that the challenge of finding confluences
can be fascinating – if not addictive. From a
rational point of view, “confluencing” seems
to be pointless, if not foolish. Why should one shoulder
so much effort just to get to a pointless place on earth?
Well, there are several reasons:
• Often takes you to places that never sees tourists
and has untouched wildlife. If the area is populated
then friendly people are happy to see you coming because
they rarely have visitors.
• Provides a challenge in everyday life. Nowadays,
modern societies satisfy most needs causing a desire
for further goals. Purposelessness is driven away by
the collective aim of the project.
• Provides training skills in orientation, navigation,
negotiation, climbing, hiking, problem solving, timing,
improvising, organising, geography, transportation and
many more.
• Discover the fascinating and intriguing sides
of ordinary places not on the “must see”
agenda of most travellers and discover the fascinating
and intriguing sides of those places which are supposedly
uninteresting.
• Last, but not least, participate in the Degree
Confluence Project. There are few projects where volunteers
from all over the world are unified by a common goal.
After having personally visited 82 confluences in 24
countries I can clearly say that despite the fact that
places are very different, each confl uence visit involves
the following steps:
The
planning phase
It is essential
to look at the available time budget and estimate how
long
the whole trip from the highway, country road, track,
footpath, crosscountry to the point and back will take.
Unsuccessful visits are almost always due to the fact
that the real trip turns out to last much longer as
estimated. Therefore it is useful not to face tight
deadlines such as darkness, bus schedules or promises
to spouses. A good rule of thumb is to estimate your
time on getting there, and then double it. If you finish
early, congratulate yourself.
The
journey
Problems will
always occur despite thorough planning. Facing and solving
problems should be taken as part of the play. When I
tried to get to a remote confluence in Laos’ jungle
at a rainy day and almost reached the confluence, the
GPS receiver quit working. After I had dried the instrument
in the sun for two days (picture #1) I started again
and made it a successful visit. I had a flat tyre in
Turkey (picture #2), my car got stuck a remote part
of Iran’s desert, and issues with the police had
to be solved in Yemen (picture #3) and Pakistan (picture
#4).
Taking a local guide, being patient with locals and
communication with people who know the area are key
to success. We shouldn’t forget that some places
we consider disagreeable are other people’s homes.
Standing
at the confluence
It is the highlight
of any confluence trip, but usually time constraints,
weather conditions, animals, or worried landowners keep
the visits short. The visit can be intense if the point
is near a school in remote China (#picture 5), a river
in India (#picture 6) or a Cambodian town where spiders
are delicacy (#picture 7).
Reporting
the confluence
Submitting a
report and pictures to the website can be quite some
effort,
but is usually rewarded by feedback from the confl uence
community.