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Sampling the world
Rainer Mautz
This article describes an ongoing project that has the goal to visit the degree intersections of each latitude and longitude on land, or within sight of land, around the world documenting the visit with photographs at each location and publish them on the Degree Confluence website

Picture 1: 47°s 168°e stewart Island, new Zealand: we advanced only 3km a day through dense primary forest and had to return 3km from the target.

Why do visitors give up? The reported motives for incomplete visits are given in Figure 11. This survey shows that difficult terrain is the main reason for capitulation (29%), in particular dense vegetation, slopes and rocks prevent explorers to reach their goals. Another

Picture 2: 47°n 9°e Glarus, switzerland: the confluence is located right on the top of a mountain rage at 2915m altitude. 90m from the point I considered further climbing as being too unsafe.


Picture 3: 42°n 60°e da oguz, turkmenistan: 2.5 km from the point I realised that the target is not located in Uzbekistan but in turkmenistan. the trip ended at the border fence. Further advance was too risky without a proper visa.

18% fail to submit their visit correctly. 13% get into time trouble, 11% don’t get permission to access the confluence, 6% seem just not serious about their attempt and the rest is caused by weather conditions, technical problems and dangers. Consequently, disappointment can be avoided observing the following rules:
  1. Study land use and topography. Determine distance from the nearest town, road, track and trail.
  2. Study the submission requirements at the confluence website.
  3. If your map shows your confluence being located in the water, organise your ship prior to arrival, successful swims (see 55°N 24°E) are rare exceptions.
  4. Be an early bird – you may run out of daylight as it always takes longer as expected.
  5. Bring a printed letter informing landowners about the project – authorities prefer printed matters.
  6. Check the weather forecast. Flooding, ice and heat are the major reason for disappointment.
  7. Bring a residual camera and GPS receiver including spare batteries. Heat, dust, salt, humidity and ice increase the chance of a technical problem.
Picture 1-4 show the author’s unsuccessful attempts of reaching confluence points in various countries.

Picture 4: 44°n 91°e Xinjiang, china: 11km from the objective the rear bicycle rack broke.

When will the project get finished?
At the time of writing 10,970 unvisited primary confluences out of 16,194 that belongto the project goal are waiting to be reached. Currently, the rate of first visits to primary confluences is 1-2 a day, or 500 a year. Assuming a linear trend, the last confluence should be visited in 22 years, i.e. in the year 2030. However, when it comes to finish the last 1%, I predict a clear slowdown: as can be seen an asymptotic completion for individual countries from Figure 5 this may well be valid for the whole world. Imagine that the very last unvisited intersections may need special permission due to restricted areas or they are just extremely unattractive for a visit. This fact could postpone a completion beyond the year 2050.

All data was obtained from the website confluence.org using a short Matlab script. The html of all visits was downloaded by the command urlread (‘http://www. confluence.org/confluence.php?visitid=1’),where the variable “visitid” was looped from 1 to 15,000. The relevant data such as latitude, longitude, date, accuracy etc was then extracted using regular expressions (regexp).
References
Mautz, R.(2006) Sampling the Earth Surface - What Does Our World Really Look Like? Coordinates - Positioning, Navigation and Beyond, No. 3, pp. 8-11, 2006

NASA Website, Figure 7: http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/ Newsroom/BlueMarble/

Confluence Website: http://www.confluence.org
Rainer Mautz
Lecturer and researcher in Engineering Geodesy at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology
Zurich.
www.geometh.ethz.ch/people/rmautz
 
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