Natural disasters happen all over the world,
but the extent of damage and loss of life
has far more to do with the preparedness
and responsiveness of the relevant human
systems, not only where the disaster happens
but also often half-way across the world
The
damage caused by Hurricane Katrina to the southern
United States has exploded the myth that natural
disasters happen only to poor countries. Yet there
is a grain of truth in the myth. Natural disasters
happen all over the world, but the extent of damage
and loss of life has far more to do with the preparedness
and responsiveness of the relevant human systems,
not only where the disaster happens but also often
half-way across the world.
This does not have to be a matter of great technological
sophistication. The astonishing loss of only two
lives in the Californian earthquake of 1989 was
correctly attributed to the inclusion of all the
right design features in roads, bridges, buildings,
and so on. That might have been expected in an
industrial country, but far less attention has
been given to the fact that similar features were
included in the requirements for buildings in,
for example, the Indian city of Hyderabad, where
the earthquake of September 1993 caused no damage.
Yet the earthquake killed about 10,000 in the
rural district of Latur, where poor peoples’
homes were built without foundations, and presumably
also without the prior approval of designs by
the relevant officials of the Maharashtra state
government. After the disaster, substantial proportions
of relief money allocated by the Government of
India and the World Bank flowed into the wrong
pockets, and those worst affected by the disaster
got the least help, though in some villages active
women’s NGOs helped women train in masonry
so that they could help in and supervise the reconstruction.
In many cases too, the use of relatively everyday
technology is more than enough to save lives.
A man in Singapore saw television news of the
tsunami in December 2004, used his mobile phone
to call his village on the Tamil Nadu coast, and
saved thousands of lives, as the villagers warned
neighbouring villages too. Similarly, Hurricane
Wilma in October 2005 has caused nothing like
the devastation wrought by its predecessor Katrina,
for the simple reason that early warnings have
been issued and public services have been properly
prepared in advance.
Cuba better prepared
than the US
Some states
take certain types of preparation very seriously.
In Cuba, the national leaders went on television
and took charge before Hurricane Ivan, as powerful
as Katrina, struck in September 2004. People had
been told where their designated shelters were,
and were evacuated together with their neighbourhood
doctors, who knew the people they were accompanying
and treating; all evacuees were allowed to take
personal possessions with them so as to minimize
looting of empty homes. They were even allowed
to take animals, as veterinarians were also evacuated
to the shelters. One and a half million people
were evacuated. There was no curfew, no looting,
and no violence. The hurricane, with winds of
160 miles an hour, destroyed 20,000 houses - but
nobody died. Cuba has been cited as a model of
hurricane preparedness by the United Nations International
Secretariat for Disaster Reduction.
The important thing about Cuba is the recognition
by state and society that the predicaments are
shared by all. The contrast with what happened
over Hurricane Katrina could not be greater. Scientists
who had modelled a hurricane of Katrina’s
strength had told the US Federal Emergency Management
Agency (FEMA) that 300,000 would be unlikely to
leave New Orleans; in the event, the scientists
knew the strength of Katrina in advance and told
FEMA of it, but it turned out that 127,000 residents
of New Orleans had no cars and that there was
no transport to evacuate them. Despite the US
federal government’s declaration of an emergency,
which gave FEMA the power to commandeer anything,
nothing was done beyond a restatement of commitments
to help. Even then, one FEMA official told a scientist
at Louisiana State University’s Hurricane
Tracking Centre that evacuation was not considered
because ‘Americans don’t live in tents.’
FEMA put supplies for 15,000 into the refuge of
last resort, the city’s Superdome sports
stadium, but 26,000 arrived there. As to the national
leaders, President Bush carried on playing golf
in the middle of his summer vacation. He made
no TV announcement for three days, and did not
visit the scene until five days after the hurricane
had stuck. Even then, he started by flying over
the area in his official jet, and then when he
eventually made a personal visit he kept well
away from the worst-hit areas; a New York Times
leader said the President showed no understanding
of the depth of the crisis. Not for President
Bush the ordinary compassion shown by Senator
Edward Kennedy, who in 1971 tramped knee-deep
in mud through the refugee camps on the Indian
side of the Indo-Bangladesh border. And among
the President’s senior officials, Vice-President
Dick Cheney remained on holiday in Wyoming for
several days, and Secretary of State Condoleezza
Rice went shopping in Manhattan for shoes at seven
thousand dollars a pair.
Among the FEMA professionals, several found themselves
bewildered by and very angry with their director
Michael Brown, who – unlike previous FEMA
directors – had no experience of disaster
management and was an ideologically-motivated
appointment made by President Bush. FEMA staff
got water trucks ready on the Texas-Louisiana
border, but were then ordered by Brown to hold
them there. The trucks were not released for three
more days. Brown’s reason, that the aid
could not be provided until the state government
had asked the federal government for help, was
a fiction; the state government had made the request
four days earlier.
As to official agencies based in New Orleans,
they were not trained for disaster relief. The
police concentrated on law and order first and
human needs later; when the US army arrived they,
under the command of Lt Gen Russel Honoré,
made sure people were attended to first. They
also restored communications and water and power
supplies, which the police simply may not have
been equipped to do. It also caused great anger
among tens of millions of Americans that some
10,000 of the Louisiana State Guard were in Iraq,
helping to conduct a war which both violates international
law and is now being questioned deeply across
the United States.
Turning crisis into
catastrophe
If the
US government’s handling of the matter showed,
as one scientist has said, ‘complete ineptitude’,
the crisis was turned into catastrophe by the
collapse of the levées or dykes which protect
New Orleans from the waters of Lake Pontchartrain.
These had indeed been reinforced in 1965 after
Hurricane Betsy, but had been designed for a Category
3 hurricane, not one of Category 5 like Katrina.
As it happened the fourteen-and-a-half foot high
levées kept the waves out, but the concrete
blocks comprising the dykes had been butt-jointed,
not interlocked, and were held together only by
mortar, which failed under the pressure of the
storm. Maintenance money amounting to some $70
million had been cut from the budget of the responsible
body, the US Army Corps of Engineers. That kind
of money is small change to a country which has
already spent $170 billion on the invasion and
occupation of Iraq. Even the President’s
grandiose announcement of $200 billion in post-Katrina
relief has infuriated his own supporters in the
US Congress, many of whom have been elected on
promises of huge tax cuts. There are reservations
too, about who will benefit from the federal largesse,
as several big construction companies are lining
up for the rebuilding contracts.